The effect of inflation and interest rate on Turkish banking system’s incomes


ÖZEN E., TETİK M.

International Journal of Economic Perspectives, cilt.8, sa.4, ss.19-38, 2014 (Scopus) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 8 Sayı: 4
  • Basım Tarihi: 2014
  • Dergi Adı: International Journal of Economic Perspectives
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.19-38
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Banking, Commission, Finance, Inflation, Interest rate, SVAR
  • Uşak Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

The study aims to explore 1) to understand how low inflation and interest rates affect to Turkish banking system’s income. 2) to find out whether low profit margins of banking, said that contraction in public because of low inflation and low interest rate, compensated by commission income. Data set of the study consists 46 quarterly between 2002:1 and 2013:4. The main findings based on SVAR model impulse response analysis, it has been showed that an increase of political interest rate has negative effect on rate of assets (ROA) and hasn’t any statistically meaningful effect on rate of equity (ROE). Whereas, it has been showed that inflation doesn’t affect to ROA as statistically and affect ROE as statistically. Another finding of the study is that contribution of net interest income to profitability bigger than that of commission. This result means that the interest income is still the major profit element of banks. JEL Classification: G21; E43; E52; E31.